Monday, July 15, 2019

Forecast Model Tuning with Additional Regressors in Prophet

I’m going to share my experiment results with Prophet additional regressors. My goal was to check how extra regressor would weight on forecast calculated by Prophet.

Using dataset from Kaggle — Bike Sharing in Washington D.C. Dataset. Data comes with a number for bike rentals per day and weather conditions. I have created and compared three models:

1. Time series Prophet model with date and number of bike rentals
2. A model with additional regressor —weather temperature
3. A model with additional regressor s— weather temperature and state (raining, sunny, etc.)

We should see the effect of regressor and compare these three models.

Read more in my Towards Data Science post.

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